Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Gonu will approach the capital of Oman, which is a city of 600,000 right on the coast of the Gulf of Oman.

Posted By: Jedkins at 2:06 AM GMT on June 05, 2007.

…“ya well say what you want, but unless that SST map is not accurate or they are probably releasing that because its easier for the public to understand....And since the general public realy doesn't care about all the details and never will, all they need to do is make general statements like, "cooler water temps in its path" or "deep moisture moving into place" or "sharp temp contrast.” Hope you get my point.”

...yeah, well Jed, maybe your “point” should be that in most newscasts, weather only gets a couple of minutes to make their case. It isn't that the "general public" doesn't totally understand, or care. It's more of a time factor for explaining the "details" as you put it, than the public’s capacity to digest and discern information! There is news, sports and stuff called “commercials” that require time to pay the bills that all limit time. This is why “members” come to this site.

Gonu seems to be winding down from 160 to now 105. It seems to made it's way into the dust and dry air and is getting entrained in the storm.
I saw one model and it was suppose to nip Oman and go into Iran. The models then changed again to right around where it was this morning. Very strange.

Gonu is still cat 5. Wunderground maps have reverted 24 hours for some reason. Most recent fix has the storm at 155 mph sustained (not 105). Forecast to brush Oman as a cat 4, and hit Iran as a cat 1/2. Pretty incredible.

The navy, at this minute, says that Gonu is a cat 4/5 borderline hurricane.

Embedded in the image name is the windspeed, 135kts, and the datestamp of the image.




I don't know why somebody would think this is a borderline cat 2/3 hurricane, 105 kts?

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn/tc_pages/
thumbs/IO/02A.GONU/pacific/southern_hemisphere/
vis/geo/vis/geo/1km_zoom/
20070605.0430.meteo7.x.vis1km_high.02AGONU.
135kts-904mb-209N-625E.100pc.jpg

Thunder, Gonu will be lucky to still be a CAT2 by the time it brushes Oman with all the dry air it is running into

Navy is predicting that Gonu will be a cat 3 or higher for the next 24 hours right up to it's brush with Onan.

Then, with at least a third of the storm overland cut off from it's fuel, it is predicted to plunge to high Cat 1.

Link

Fortunately it is hitting with it's soft left shoulder instead of the hard right. On the right shoulder the surge would still be cat 5 strength at landfall with 40 foot waves on top, basically as high as an eight-story building. They won't get most of that because they are on the left shoulder.

BARRY WAS NEVER A TROPICAL STORM AT ALL ...ITS PURE BALONY . JUST PLAYING ALONG WITH THE CORRUPT MEDIA FOR NO GOOD REASON...LETS STICK TO REAL WEATHER SCIENCE. AND STOP TH B.S.

THE HURRICNE SEASON IN THE SOUTHEN HEMISPHERE WAS VERY QUIET. I WATCHED THE WHOLE SEASON WITH ALL MY BEST SATTELLITES AND SAW ONE STRONG HURRICANE HIT MADAGASCAR WITH 130 MPH WINDS FOR TWO DAYS AND TWO OTHER CAT.ONE HURR. HIT THE SAME AREA. THERE WERE ABOUT FOUR OTHER SMALL STORMS THAT HIT NORTHERN AUSTRALIA THE REST WERE HARMLESS. IF WE ARE TO SEE THE SAME TAME HURR SEASON, THEN WE SHOULD SEE 10 NAMED STORMS, 3 HURR CAT 2 , AND ONE OR 2 CAT. 3 -- AND THE REST SMALL TS.OR CAT. ONE ...BASICALLY A MILD HURR SEASON. .I WAS RIGHT ON THE MONEY LAST YEAR 2006 BY GOING THE OPPOSITE OF THE BIGGIES FORECAST.. LETS HOPE IM RIGHT AGAIN THIS YEAR. OH YES THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD SEE THE MOST ACTION. I LIVE IN BOYNTON BEACH FL.AND SAW THE EYE OF WILMA COME RIGHT SMACK OVER MY HEAD, WITH THE LOWEST PRESS. OF 27.98 " hg. AND WIND EST,AT 120-125 AT THE WEST EYEWALL. WOW WHAT A THRILL. THAT WAS THE FIFTH EYE FOR ME IN THE LAST 55 YEARS. HAZEL IN 1954 WAS FANTASTIC 115 MPH ON MY BEACH. 16 FOOT WAVES. WOW.....HOWIE