Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Missouri River flood hits unprecedented flow rates

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 03:18 PM GMT am 17. Juni 2011

The most expensive tornado/severe weather disaster in American history is the great May 21 - 26, 2011 storm that spawned the Joplin, Missouri EF-5 tornado. According to catastrophe modeling firm AIR Worldwide, insured damages from that storm will amount to $4 - $7 billion, the greatest damages ever for a spring severe weather outbreak. However, the damages from the huge, slow-moving low pressure system that spawned the Joplin tornado have not yet been fully realized. The powerful storm pumped huge quantities of warm, moisture-laden air from the Gulf of Mexico northwestwards into Montana, where the moisture condensed into record-breaking heavy rain and snow. In portions of eastern Montana, the storm brought a year's worth of precipitation in a week, swelling the tributaries of the Missouri River to unprecedented heights. Billings, Montana recorded 9.54" of precipitation in May, its single wettest month on record, and not far from its annual average precipitation of 14.5". A great 100-year flood has arrived along the Missouri River and its tributaries from Montana to Nebraska. Record spring rains, combined with snow melt from record or near-record winter and spring snows, brought the Missouri River at Williston, North Dakota to 30' today (June 17), two feet above the record crest set in 1912. Tributaries to the Missouri, such as the North Platte River in Nebraska, are also flooding at all-time record heights. With warm summer temperatures and 2 - 5" of rainfall expected over much of the area during the coming week, snow melt and rain runoff will swell area rivers even further, creating an even more dangerous flood.

Flooding along the Missouri River has already broken two levees and closed two portions of I-29, a key trucking route that extends from Kansas City through Iowa, South Dakota and North Dakota to the Canadian border. A 20-mile stretch between Council Bluffs and the Missouri Valley area is closed, as well as a 22-mile section in southwest Iowa and northwest Missouri, causing significant disruptions to the trucking industry.

Figure 1. Satellite image taken at 5:45pm CDT May 22, 2011, when the Joplin, Missouri tornado was occurring. The counter-clockwise flow of air around the spiraling low pressure system that caused the Joplin tornado drew large quantities of Gulf of Mexico air into Montana, creating record-breaking rains. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.

Figure 2. Levee breach along the Missouri River levee L-575 near Hamburg, Iowa, on June 14, 2011. The town of Hamburg is being protected by a new temporary levee. So far, only farmland has flooded. Image credit: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.

Army Corps cranks up water releases on Missouri River dams to double the previous record
Six flood control dams lie on the Missouri River between eastern Montana and Sioux City, Iowa; these dams were built between 1940 and 1964. As water from this spring's record precipitation have flowed into the Missouri River basin, the reservoirs behind these dams have risen to record levels. On May 31, the Army Corps of Engineers was forced to open the the spillway gates on the massive Garrison Dam, 50 miles northwest of Bismark, North Dakota. It was the first time since the dam was built in 1955 that the spillway gates were opened. (Remarkably, during 2007 and early 2008, Lake Sakakawea water levels behind Garrison Dam were the lowest since the dam was built--46 feet below the current level--thanks to a decade-long drought.) On June 3, as the record flood progressed downstream, the spillway gates on the Big Bend Dam opened for the first time since that dam was completed in 1964. This week, the Army Corps of Engineers increased water flowing through all six dams to more than double the previous highs set during the floods of 1975 and 1997. The flow rates are now a massive 150,000 cubic feet per second, 1.5 times greater than the typical flow of Niagara Falls. These extreme flow rates will need to be maintained into at least mid-August, and are expected to severely strain levees on the Missouri River as it flows through North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Iowa, Missouri, and Kansas. According to a press conference put on by NWS and the Army Corps last week, the Missouri River flood control system is based on an 1881 estimate of the maximum amount of water an extreme flood season could generate--40 million acre-feet of water during the spring and summer flood season. However, this year's flood is expected to pump 42 - 43 million acre feet of water into the system, stressing it beyond its designed limits. In May alone, the Missouri River basin just upstream from Sioux City, Iowa, received 10.2 million acre feet of water, more than 25% above the previous May record of 7.2 million acre feet set in 1995. Additional levee failures along the Missouri are likely this summer, particularly if widespread heavy summer rains occur.

Figure 3. The Oahe Reservoir Stilling Basin north of Pierre, S.D., on June 5, 2011. The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers increased the water releases from the Oahe Dam into the stilling basin to a record 147,000 cubic feet per second (cfs) of water release on June 8. The previous record was 59,000 cfs in 1997. Image credit: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers/ Carlos J. Lazo

Four-day period of critical fire conditions expected in the Southwest
Powerful southwest winds of 20 - 30 mph, gusting to 40 mph will continue through Saturday in Eastern Arizona and western New Mexico, making progress containing the region's severe fires difficult. Even worse conditions are begin predicted for Sunday, when NOAA's Storm Prediction Center forecasts forecasts that wind gusts up to 50 mph will occur. With hot conditions and humidity values below 10%, these are likely to be among the worst fire conditions the region has seen this year.

While the exceptional drought gripping Arizona is largely to blame for terrible fire conditions this year, unusually windy and dry weather has also been a significant factor. These windy and dry conditions have been caused, in part, by a stronger-than-average jet stream over the region. According to the National Weather Service in Phoenix, the period April-May 2011 was the 11th windiest and had the 6th lowest average relative humidity value on record in Phoenix. Combined, it was the 3rd windiest-driest April-May on record.

Our weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, has an interesting post on The Worst Wild Fires in World History. Arizona's Wallow Fire, at 750 square miles, has a long way to go before matching the largest fire in U.S. history, the great Peshtigo Fire of 1871. That fire burned 5,938 square miles of Wisconsin and Michigan.

Tallahassee hits 105°, their hottest day on record
On Wednesday June 15 at 307 PM EDT, the Tallahassee Regional Airport in Florida recorded a high temperature of 105 degrees. This temperature breaks the previous all time high temperature record for Tallahassee of 104 degrees, set most recently on June 20th 1933. The period of record for Tallahassee dates back to 1892.

The Atlantic is quiet
The Atlantic is quiet, with no tropical cyclones predicted over the next seven days by the reliable computer models. However, the GFS model predicts that moisture will begin increasing early next week in the western Gulf of Mexico, and a tropical disturbance could form next week in the Gulf, bringing much-needed rains to the coast of Texas. Droughts of the magnitude of the current Texas drought are hard to break, though, so I'd like to see more support from the models before believing in this forecast.

Have a great weekend everyone! I'll be back Monday with a new post.

Jeff Masters

ABANDONED For Wetland Project in Flood (BEME)

Another old farmstead,within the wetlands 'project'..near Highway 2 [to Nebraska City,Nebraska]..Water's getting higher. [photo taken Wednesday afternoon]

Won't be Open Much Longer (Nikongranny)

Highway 2 east of Nebraska City will be closing very soon.

Trying to Keep Ahead (Nikongranny)

of the approaching water. Crews working frantically building this earth berm to keep the advancing Missouri River out of Hamburg.

Categories: Flood

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452. Torgen 05:40 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie: That is NICE! Just don't watch this one, if you have epilepsy or just woke up! Link THAT is just freaking mind-blowing. Thanks for sharing that, because I'd never have seen it! I stopped going to APOD for some reason. Member Since: Juni 3, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 321

453. aspectre 05:47 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
"And they called me mad. Me? Mad? BWA-HAHA-HAHA-HAHAHAHA... Let them try to stop me now!" Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4846

454. Some1Has2BtheRookie 05:54 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Quoting Torgen: THAT is just freaking mind-blowing. Thanks for sharing that, because I'd never have seen it! I stopped going to APOD for some reason. Druseljic posted the link that it is on. Click on the "Discover the cosmos!" link on that page and there is a long list of images to look at. Here you go: Link I am out for the night. See if you can wake up Grothar. Stay safe, everyone. May your weather be whatever you need it to be. I know, it's a nice thought and it hasn't worked for me either. Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4102

455. Some1Has2BtheRookie 05:56 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Quoting aspectre: "And they called me mad. Me? Mad? BWA-HAHA-HAHA-HAHAHAHA... Let them try to stop me now!" I hadn't heard about this one. When it rains it pours, except in Texas lately! Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4102

456. DDR 06:51 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Looks like flood to me areas in south and south eastern Trinidad maybe under water by sunrise Radar...Link Member Since: April 27, 2007 Posts: 13 Comments: 1475

457. sunlinepr 06:57 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8447

458. sunlinepr 07:00 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8447

459. sunlinepr 07:02 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8447

460. WatchingThisOne 07:06 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Meanwhile, back at the OT Fukushima ranch ... the situation is not improving. Looks to me like there is going to be a lot of highly radioactive water dumped into the sea. The groundwater is contaminated, and radioactive sewage sludge has been found in 16 of 46 prefectures in Japan. Hot spots are still being found well outside of the 30km exclusion zone. Whales are starting to turn up radioactive as strontium and other nasty things get concentrated up the food chain. WTO (from the Wall Street Journal) Tepco Suspends Water Treatment Operation BY DAISUKE WAKABAYASHI TOKYO—Tokyo Electric Power Co., the operator of the damaged Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant, said it halted the use of a new system for decontaminating highly radioactive water after levels of radiation in one part of the system rose faster than expected. The suspension came only five hours after Tepco started operation of the system, which aims to reduce the vast amounts of irradiated water at the facility. ... Member Since: Juli 15, 2005 Posts: 3 Comments: 1249

461. AtHomeInTX 07:22 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie: That is NICE! Just don't watch this one, if you have epilepsy or just woke up! Link That was beautiful! Thanks for sharing it. :) And I love NIN. The perfect touch. Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3886

462. AtHomeInTX 07:34 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
The UKMET seems to bring us some rain too. :) Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3886

463. islander101010 10:17 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
are you a believer? epac has the spin but the nw carib. looks suspect. both are not going to pop. Member Since: Septämber 11, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2968

464. aquak9 10:31 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
good morning dayshift- I see AtHome has eaten all the donuts again :) Isn't Ike so sweet? after dealing with triple digits last week, he's decided to SHARE...with ME- I'm gonna be under a ridge like a pressure cooker. Local NWS calling for century mark for a few days (why don't they just call it BROIL and quit trying to make it sound so fancy?) And it's not even summer yet maybe if I brew my coffee with some chiplotle, it won't seem so bad Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25008

465. nrtiwlnvragn 10:59 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Word for the day....Plethora HPC Short Range Forecast Discussion Excerpt: ELSEWHERE...SUMMER IS MAKING ITS PRESENCE KNOWN OVER THE DEEP SOUTH AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES LASTING FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 100 TO 110 DEGREE RANGE CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF TEXAS...WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER BUT MORE HUMID CONDITIONS NEAR THE GULF COAST. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY EACH AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF FLORIDA AND THE DEEP SOUTH IN THE PRESENCE OF GULF SEA BREEZES AND A PLETHORA OF HUMIDITY. Member Since: Septämber 23, 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 8932

466. aquak9 11:09 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Plethora- including but not limited too: bake, broil, steam, dehydrate, sizzle, braised, and blackened. Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25008

467. GeoffreyWPB 11:13 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SAT JUN 18 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI Member Since: Septämber 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9127

468. DDR 11:39 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Copious amount of rain in Trinidad this morning,possible flooding in some areas Member Since: April 27, 2007 Posts: 13 Comments: 1475

469. scooster67 11:42 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
pleth·o·ra [pleth-er-uh] Show IPA –noun 1. overabundance; excess: a plethora of advice and a paucity of assistance. 2. Pathology Archaic . a morbid condition due to excess of red corpuscles in the blood or increase in the quantity of blood. I think the second definition is more appropriate for Texas. Good morning y,all. Member Since: Septämber 26, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 637

470. DDR 11:57 AM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Trinidad & Tobago met office Radar__Link During the last three hours, cloudy conditions increased over both Trinidad and Tobago resulting in periods of moderate to heavy showers and rain along with scattered moderate to heavy thunder-showers particularly in Trinidad. These conditions are due to the ITCZ interacting with a tropical wave approaching the twin island republic. The above conditions are forecasted to continue over the next 4 to 6 hours with rainfall accumulations likely to yield amounts in excess of 25 millimeters. Street and flash flooding along with gusty winds in excess of 40 km/h are expected to continue accompanying heavy showers and thundershowers. Rivers of moderate carrying capacities may also become inundated. Member Since: April 27, 2007 Posts: 13 Comments: 1475

471. Neapolitan 12:12 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Good Blazing Saturday, fellow WU-ians. In addition to the ongoing and relentless heat and drought, a quick update on a few other things that have been discussed here recently: --The much-vaunted water filtration plan at Fukushima had to be stopped just a few hours into the planned months-long program when it was discovered that caesium levels were far higher than anyone expexted. Caesium-absorbing cartridges that were expected to last several weeks reached their limit in under five hours. --The Joplin tornado has claimed a 154th victim. Meanwhile, the health officials have confirmed 12 cases of the deadly fungus zygomycosis. And, sadly, several first responders have been fired for looting in the aftermath of the storm. --The Wallow Fire expanded beyond 500,000 acres yesterday (exact acreage will be available later). meanwhile, the Monument Fire nearly doubled in size, and the Horseshoe Two Fire has grown to 206,000 acres. --The NRC swears the Fort Calhoun Nuclear Plant is safe, despite anything we're heard or read or seen. (And why wouldn't we believe everything they say?) Enjoy your weekend... ;-) Member Since: Novämber 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 11160

472. presslord 12:16 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Quoting Neapolitan: Good Blazing Saturday, fellow WU-ians. In addition to the ongoing and relentless heat and drought, a quick update on a few other things that have been discussed here recently: --The much-vaunted water filtration plan at Fukushima had to be stopped just a few hours into the planned months-long program when it was discovered that caesium levels were far higher than anyone expexted. Caesium-absorbing cartridges that were expected to last several weeks reached their limit in under five hours. --The Joplin tornado has claimed a 154th victim. Meanwhile, the health officials have confirmed 12 cases of the deadly fungus zygomycosis. And, sadly, several first responders have been fired for looting in the aftermath of the storm. --The Wallow Fire expanded beyond 500,000 acres yesterday (exact acreage will be available later). meanwhile, the Monument Fire nearly doubled in size, and the Horseshoe Two Fire has grown to 206,000 acres. --The NRC swears the Fort Calhoun Nuclear Plant is safe, despite anything we're heard or read or seen. (And why wouldn't we believe everything they say?) Enjoy your weekend... ;-) well, well...Aren't you just a little ray of sunshine?! Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10377

473. AussieStorm 12:27 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Quoting Neapolitan: Good Blazing Saturday, fellow WU-ians. In addition to the ongoing and relentless heat and drought, a quick update on a few other things that have been discussed here recently: --The much-vaunted water filtration plan at Fukushima had to be stopped just a few hours into the planned months-long program when it was discovered that caesium levels were far higher than anyone expexted. Caesium-absorbing cartridges that were expected to last several weeks reached their limit in under five hours. --The Joplin tornado has claimed a 154th victim. Meanwhile, the health officials have confirmed 12 cases of the deadly fungus zygomycosis. And, sadly, several first responders have been fired for looting in the aftermath of the storm. --The Wallow Fire expanded beyond 500,000 acres yesterday (exact acreage will be available later). meanwhile, the Monument Fire nearly doubled in size, and the Horseshoe Two Fire has grown to 206,000 acres. --The NRC swears the Fort Calhoun Nuclear Plant is safe, despite anything we're heard or read or seen. (And why wouldn't we believe everything they say?) Enjoy your weekend... ;-) You forgot the Eritrea-Ethiopia Volcano and the Chile Volcano. Member Since: Septämber 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13348

474. Grothar 12:36 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Quoting aquak9: Plethora- including but not limited too: bake, broil, steam, dehydrate, sizzle, braised, and blackened. So, that is what they call Mrs. Grothar's meatloaf. Plethora loaf. Thanks, aqua. Member Since: Juli 17, 2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19544

475. aspectre 12:38 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
And ya left out the 3tonne hammer that Japan is planning to once again drop on its liquid-sodium plutonium-breeder reactor. Ifn ya can't break it the first time, try try again. Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4846

476. pottery 12:40 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Quoting DDR: Copious amount of rain in Trinidad this morning,possible flooding in some areas Hi DDR, It was thundering and flashing here last night. But so far, not a lot of rain. Member Since: Oktober 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20708

477. Neapolitan 12:44 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Invest 92 in the EPAC is s-l-o-w-l-y dropping pressure: EP, 92, 2011061812, , BEST, 0, 128N, 950W, 25, 1006, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 200, 80, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, Member Since: Novämber 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 11160

478. stoormfury 12:45 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
tropical wave at 50W headind towaeds an area of low wind shear. this should help it to strenghen further before getting to the windward islands Member Since: August 22, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 2303

479. cloudy0day 12:48 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Good Morning! Just want to say thanks for all the rain dances and rain prayers, etc.... They finally paid off and we received 2" of rain, first rain sense mid March last night. I tried leaving my fan running outside, leaving the car windows down, etc... nothing worked. Too bad weather control is just not realistic. Now if we could just get some rain over to Texas! I have not been posting for almost a year, looks to be relatively troll free this year so I'll give it a whirl. Member Since: Septämber 10, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 15

480. Grothar 12:54 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Went back and looked at some of the posts from last night. Great images from Rookie and druseljic. Thanks. Member Since: Juli 17, 2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19544

481. Grothar 12:59 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Caribbean blob looks a little healthier. Member Since: Juli 17, 2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19544

482. aspectre 01:04 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Very healthy for a blob. Anyone see it getting Invested soon? ie before Monday? Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4846

483. stoormfury 01:04 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
the area of disturbed weather in the western caribbean ,has increase in convection. there seems to be some cyclonic turning in the mid levels.it is quite possible that a low pressure is trying to form between off the coast of nicaragua and jamaica Member Since: August 22, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 2303

484. islander101010 01:06 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
visiable looks interesting small compact tw at 51w 11n Member Since: Septämber 11, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2968

485. clwstmchasr 01:12 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Quoting stoormfury: the area of disturbed weather in the western caribbean ,has increase in convection. there seems to be some cyclonic turning in the mid levels.it is quite possible that a low pressure is trying to form between off the coast of nicaragua and jamaica I don't see anything happening soon. This is no 850mb vorticy in the area and wind shear is too high. Member Since: Juli 29, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 2755

486. Grothar 01:13 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Nice image of 92E and the Caribbean blob. Sometimes these systems can interact with each other. You know, inflow and outflow boundaries. Wind shear and other lots of other stuff. Maybe they may have a chance to do something in the next few days. Member Since: Juli 17, 2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19544

487. Skyepony (Mod) 01:15 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
That blob is going for the highest heat potential area in the West Atlantic. I'll give it 20% chance of becoming a depression eventually. Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29342

488. Grothar 01:16 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Quoting aspectre: Very healthy for a blob. Anyone see it getting Invested soon? ie before Monday? Hey aspecte. I wouldn't worry yet. I look healthy for a blob, too. Just thought you all might like to see a close-up of it. I think it does have possibilities. Doing a little analysis now. Will let you know. Member Since: Juli 17, 2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19544

490. kmanislander 01:17 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Good morning all We had some nice rain here last night and more seems to be on the way today. The "blob" approaching the gulf of Honduras has that precursor look that we often see before a system tries to organize but for now nothing appears to be imminent. Surface pressures in the NW Caribbean are high, shear is in the 30 knot range and the feature is likely to go ashore later today or tomorrow. Any chance for development may not come until the BOC unless the blob stalls or the tropical wave leaves a stationary low behind. The models do not call for that scenario at this time. Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 14939

491. seflagamma 01:26 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Good morning my WU friends, Happy Saturday to you all! So we are all hot and humid and many still way too dry. Busy at work today but will try to lurk as much as I can.. enjoy your Saturday! Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 286 Comments: 40485

492. Grothar 01:30 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Quoting SQUAWK: Does the term "plunk your magic twanger, Froggy" mean anything to you? Yes, I never missed a Saturday when I was kid. My favorite old time actor and sidekick, Andy Devine. I still say, hi, kids, hiya, to some people who remember it it. Member Since: Juli 17, 2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19544

493. islander101010 01:36 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
not both. one or the other. this time of the yr if i was a gambler even though the nw carib looks most interesting i'd take epac Member Since: Septämber 11, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2968

494. SLU 01:37 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Nice flare up in the Western Caribbean today but whatever low level vorticity that exists is inland over Central America and its close proximity to invest 92E will make it hard for much organisation to occur in the short term. Member Since: Juli 13, 2006 Posts: 11 Comments: 2851

495. stormpetrol 01:44 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Member Since: April 29, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6400

496. blsealevel 01:52 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Alert level: green for Philippines,China This tropical cyclone can have a low humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path. Current storm status Analysis based on advisory number 7 for SIX-11, published on 6/18/2011 06:00 UTC •The storm is: active •Current country: Not near land •Current position: 125.5, 14.5 •Alert level at current position: green •Basin: NWPacific •Current strength: Tropical Storm •Current maximum sustained wind speed: 17 m/s, 34 kt Member Since: August 23, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1916

498. heavyweatherwatcher 02:09 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Midnight was the very best!!!! "Niiiice"... Member Since: Juli 15, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 136

499. Stormchaser2007 02:10 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
http://i300.photobucket.com/albums/nn39/Stormchas er20079/ScreenHunter_02Jun181004.jpg Member Since: Juni 9, 2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15248

500. IKE 02:12 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO 430 AM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011 .SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES RIDGE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH MON THEN LIFT N OF THE AREA TUE. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF LATE TONIGHT THEN MOVE SLOWLY INTO THE WESTERN GULF SUN THROUGH MON. ................................................. .................................................. ................ Bastardi tweeted......from 18 hours ago... Joe Bastardi Texas... some rain and cooler weather should get down there next week!!! western gulf may light up with disturbed weather too. Member Since: Juni 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044

501. AussieStorm 02:14 PM GMT am 18. Juni 2011
Quoting blsealevel: Alert level: green for Philippines,China This tropical cyclone can have a low humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path. Current storm status Analysis based on advisory number 7 for SIX-11, published on 6/18/2011 06:00 UTC •The storm is: active •Current country: Not near land •Current position: 125.5, 14.5 •Alert level at current position: green •Basin: NWPacific •Current strength: Tropical Storm •Current maximum sustained wind speed: 17 m/s, 34 kt The area where it will make landfall is sparely populated. Member Since: Septämber 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13348

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